Theresa May is still heavy favourite to win the election despite Labour's poll surge

Theresa May is still heavily favoured to remain as prime minister after the June 8 election, despite a clear surge for the Labour Party in recent opinion polls.

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تاریخ: ۰۶ خرداد ۱۳۹۶ - ۱۱:۴۹

Prime Minister May has an 88% implied probability of winning the general election next month at the time of writing, while Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has a 12% chance, according to prices on the Smarkets betting exchange.

The political betting markets are continuing to lean heavily in the Conservative leader's favour despite polls showing the gap between the Tories and Labour getting narrower the closer we get to voting day.

A YouGov poll published for the Times newspaper on Thursday evening put the Tories just five percent ahead of Labour. The Conservatives had a 16% lead over Corbyn's party in a poll YouGov published just over two weeks ago.
Nevertheless, May remains the heavy favourite to wake up as prime minister on June 9.